In-context learning (ICL) has demonstrated remarkable success in large language models (LLMs) due to its adaptability and parameter-free nature. However, it also introduces a critical vulnerability to backdoor attacks, where adversaries can manipulate LLM behaviors by simply poisoning a few ICL demonstrations. In this paper, we propose, for the first time, the dual-learning hypothesis, which posits that LLMs simultaneously learn both the task-relevant latent concepts and backdoor latent concepts within poisoned demonstrations, jointly influencing the probability of model outputs. Through theoretical analysis, we derive an upper bound for ICL backdoor effects, revealing that the vulnerability is dominated by the concept preference ratio between the task and the backdoor. Motivated by these findings, we propose ICLShield, a defense mechanism that dynamically adjusts the concept preference ratio. Our method encourages LLMs to select clean demonstrations during the ICL phase by leveraging confidence and similarity scores, effectively mitigating susceptibility to backdoor attacks. Extensive experiments across multiple LLMs and tasks demonstrate that our method achieves state-of-the-art defense effectiveness, significantly outperforming existing approaches (+26.02% on average). Furthermore, our method exhibits exceptional adaptability and defensive performance even for closed-source models (e.g., GPT-4).

Analyzing how the publication records of scientists and research groups have evolved over the years is crucial for assessing their expertise since it can support the management of academic environments by assisting with career planning and evaluation. We introduce VizCV, a novel web-based end-to-end visual analytics framework that enables the interactive exploration of researchers' scientific trajectories. It incorporates AI-assisted analysis and supports automated reporting of career evolution. Our system aims to model career progression through three key dimensions: a) research topic evolution to detect and visualize shifts in scholarly focus over time, b) publication record and the corresponding impact, c) collaboration dynamics depicting the growth and transformation of a researcher's co-authorship network. AI-driven insights provide automated explanations of career transitions, detecting significant shifts in research direction, impact surges, or collaboration expansions. The system also supports comparative analysis between researchers, allowing users to compare topic trajectories and impact growth. Our interactive, multi-tab and multiview system allows for the exploratory analysis of career milestones under different perspectives, such as the most impactful articles, emerging research themes, or obtaining a detailed analysis of the contribution of the researcher in a subfield. The key contributions include AI/ML techniques for: a) topic analysis, b) dimensionality reduction for visualizing patterns and trends, c) the interactive creation of textual descriptions of facets of data through configurable prompt generation and large language models, that include key indicators, to help understanding the career development of individuals or groups.

Quantum Machine Learning (QML) is the intersection of two revolutionary fields: quantum computing and machine learning. It promises to unlock unparalleled capabilities in data analysis, model building, and problem-solving by harnessing the unique properties of quantum mechanics. This research endeavors to conduct a comprehensive bibliometric analysis of scientific information pertaining to QML covering the period from 2000 to 2023. An extensive dataset comprising 9493 scholarly works is meticulously examined to unveil notable trends, impact factors, and funding patterns within the domain. Additionally, the study employs bibliometric mapping techniques to visually illustrate the network relationships among key countries, institutions, authors, patent citations and significant keywords in QML research. The analysis reveals a consistent growth in publications over the examined period. The findings highlight the United States and China as prominent contributors, exhibiting substantial publication and citation metrics. Notably, the study concludes that QML, as a research subject, is currently in a formative stage, characterized by robust scholarly activity and ongoing development.

Remaining Useful Life (RUL) of a component or a system is defined as the length from the current time to the end of the useful life. Accurate RUL estimation plays a crucial role in Predictive Maintenance applications. Traditional regression methods, both linear and non-linear, have struggled to achieve high accuracy in this domain. While Convolutional Neural Networks (CNNs) have shown improved accuracy, they often overlook the sequential nature of the data, relying instead on features derived from sliding windows. Since RUL prediction inherently involves multivariate time series analysis, robust sequence learning is essential. In this work, we propose a hybrid approach combining Convolutional Neural Networks with Long Short-Term Memory (LSTM) networks for RUL estimation. Although CNN-based LSTM models have been applied to sequence prediction tasks in financial forecasting, this is the first attempt to adopt this approach for RUL estimation in prognostics. In this approach, CNN is first employed to efficiently extract features from the data, followed by LSTM, which uses these extracted features to predict RUL. This method effectively leverages sensor sequence information, uncovering hidden patterns within the data, even under multiple operating conditions and fault scenarios. Our results demonstrate that the hybrid CNN-LSTM model achieves the highest accuracy, offering a superior score compared to the other methods.

How effective is peer-reviewing in identifying important papers? We treat this question as a forecasting task. Can we predict which papers will be highly cited in the future based on venue and "early returns" (citations soon after publication)? We show early returns are more predictive than venue. Finally, we end with constructive suggestions to address scaling challenges: (a) too many submissions and (b) too few qualified reviewers.

LLM-as-a-judge models have been used for evaluating both human and AI generated content, specifically by providing scores and rationales. Rationales, in addition to increasing transparency, help models learn to calibrate its judgments. Enhancing a model's rationale can therefore improve its calibration abilities and ultimately the ability to score content. We introduce Self-Rationalization, an iterative process of improving the rationales for the judge models, which consequently improves the score for fine-grained customizable scoring criteria (i.e., likert-scale scoring with arbitrary evaluation criteria). Self-rationalization works by having the model generate multiple judgments with rationales for the same input, curating a preference pair dataset from its own judgements, and iteratively fine-tuning the judge via DPO. Intuitively, this approach allows the judge model to self-improve by learning from its own rationales, leading to better alignment and evaluation accuracy. After just two iterations -- while only relying on examples in the training set -- human evaluation shows that our judge model learns to produce higher quality rationales, with a win rate of $62\%$ on average compared to models just trained via SFT on rationale . This judge model also achieves high scoring accuracy on BigGen Bench and Reward Bench, outperforming even bigger sized models trained using SFT with rationale, self-consistency or best-of-$N$ sampling by $3\%$ to $9\%$.

Best performing approaches for scholarly document quality prediction are based on embedding models, which do not allow direct explanation of classifiers as distinct words no longer correspond to the input features for model training. Although model-agnostic explanation methods such as Local interpretable model-agnostic explanations (LIME) can be applied, these produce results with questionable correspondence to the ML model. We introduce a new feature importance method, Self-model Rated Entities (SMER), for logistic regression-based classification models trained on word embeddings. We show that SMER has theoretically perfect fidelity with the explained model, as its prediction corresponds exactly to the average of predictions for individual words in the text. SMER allows us to reliably determine which words or entities positively contribute to predicting impactful articles. Quantitative and qualitative evaluation is performed through five diverse experiments conducted on 50.000 research papers from the CORD-19 corpus. Through an AOPC curve analysis, we experimentally demonstrate that SMER produces better explanations than LIME for logistic regression.

Federated learning (FL), a novel branch of distributed machine learning (ML), develops global models through a private procedure without direct access to local datasets. However, it is still possible to access the model updates (gradient updates of deep neural networks) transferred between clients and servers, potentially revealing sensitive local information to adversaries using model inversion attacks. Differential privacy (DP) offers a promising approach to addressing this issue by adding noise to the parameters. On the other hand, heterogeneities in data structure, storage, communication, and computational capabilities of devices can cause convergence problems and delays in developing the global model. A personalized weighted averaging of local parameters based on the resources of each device can yield a better aggregated model in each round. In this paper, to efficiently preserve privacy, we propose a personalized DP framework that injects noise based on clients' relative impact factors and aggregates parameters while considering heterogeneities and adjusting properties. To fulfill the DP requirements, we first analyze the convergence boundary of the FL algorithm when impact factors are personalized and fixed throughout the learning process. We then further study the convergence property considering time-varying (adaptive) impact factors.

Citywide Air Pollution Forecasting tries to precisely predict the air quality multiple hours ahead for the entire city. This topic is challenged since air pollution varies in a spatiotemporal manner and depends on many complicated factors. Our previous research has solved the problem by considering the whole city as an image and leveraged a Convolutional Long Short-Term Memory (ConvLSTM) model to learn the spatiotemporal features. However, an image-based representation may not be ideal as air pollution and other impact factors have natural graph structures. In this research, we argue that a Graph Convolutional Network (GCN) can efficiently represent the spatial features of air quality readings in the whole city. Specially, we extend the ConvLSTM model to a Spatiotemporal Graph Convolutional Recurrent Neural Network (Spatiotemporal GCRNN) model by tightly integrating a GCN architecture into an RNN structure for efficient learning spatiotemporal characteristics of air quality values and their influential factors. Our extensive experiments prove the proposed model has a better performance compare to the state-of-the-art ConvLSTM model for air pollution predicting while the number of parameters is much smaller. Moreover, our approach is also superior to a hybrid GCN-based method in a real-world air pollution dataset.

Artificial intelligence could eventually help to award scores to the tens of thousands of papers submitted to the Research Excellence Framework by UK universities.Credit: Yuichiro Chino/Getty Researchers tasked with examining whether artificial intelligence (AI) technology could assist in the peer review of journal articles submitted to the United Kingdom's Research Excellence Framework (REF) say the system is not yet accurate enough to aid human assessment, and recommend further testing in a large-scale pilot scheme. The team's findings, published on 12 December, show that the AI system generated identical scores to human peer reviewers up to 72% of the time. When averaged out over the multiple submissions made by some institutions across a broad range of the 34 subject-based'units of assessment' that make up the REF, "the correlation between the human score and the AI score was very high", says data scientist Mike Thelwall at the University of Wolverhampton, UK, who is a co-author of the report. In its current form, however, the tool is most useful when assessing research output from institutions that submit a lot of articles to the REF, Thelwall says. It is less useful for smaller universities that submit only a handful of articles.